Town Council
Regular MeetingChapel Hill, NC · May 3, 2021
Minutes
Town Hall
TOWN OF CHAPEL HILL 405 Martin Luther King Jr.
Boulevard
Town Council Chapel Hill, NC 27514
Meeting Minutes - Final
Mayor Pam Hemminger Council Member Hongbin Gu
Mayor pro tem Michael Parker Council Member Tai Huynh
Council Member Jessica Anderson Council Member Amy Ryan
Council Member Allen Buansi Council Member Karen Stegman
Monday, May 3, 2021 7:00 PM Virtual Meeting
Language Access Statement
ROLL CALL
Present: 8 - Mayor Pam Hemminger, Mayor pro tem Michael Parker,
Council Member Jessica Anderson, Council Member Allen
Buansi, Council Member Hongbin Gu, Council Member
Karen Stegman, Council Member Tai Huynh, and Council
Member Amy Ryan
Other Attendees
Town Manager Maurice Jones, Planning Director Colleen Willger, Assistant
Planning Director Judy Johnson, Traffic Engineer Kumar Neppalli, Transportation
Planning Manager Bergen Watterson, Executive Director for Technology and CIO
Scott Clark, Deputy Town Clerk Amy Harvey.
AGENDA ITEM
Public Information Meeting: Traffic Analysis [21-0397]
Mayor Hemminger called the virtual meeting to order at 7:00 p.m. She
called the role and Council Members Parker, Ryan, Anderson, Buansi,
Stegman, Huynh, and Gu replied that they were present. She said that
the meeting would give the Council an opportunity to learn about traffic
modeling software prior to a May 12, 2021, meeting regarding the Aura
development project on Martin Luther King Jr. Boulevard (MLK).
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Town Council Meeting Minutes - Final May 3, 2021
Assistant Planning Director Judy Johnson introduced Craig Scheffler, a
senior technical advisor with HNTB, to lead the discussion about traffic
modeling and its application to future development in the MLK/Estes Drive
area.
Mr. Scheffler explained that transportation modeling could reflect current
conditions, predict future conditions, and test the potential impact of
changes and/or improvements to a transportation network. The models
could provide information on traffic delays and generated level of service
grades (A-F) based on a system's capacity, he said. He explained that a
grade D level of service would be the threshold for exploring
improvements to a road or intersection.
Mr. Scheffler said that HNTB's base Townwide model reflected traffic
counts taken during the morning, noon, and evening peak hours at 30 to
40 locations across Chapel Hill. He said that the model could reflect what
was occurring and could do multiple simulations. However, it could not
predict the best type of improvements to address specific problems, he
said.
Mr. Scheffler discussed some of the assumptions behind a scenario test of
Estes Drive that included all of the Town's planned developments and
proposed road improvements in year 2024. The Estes Drive/Somerset
Drive intersection would be at a level of service F at the PM peak hour and
the Franklin Street/Estes Drive intersection would go from a level C to a
level D in the AM peak and from a D to an F in the PM peak hour, he said.
Small improvements would not fix the high traffic volume problems at
those locations, he pointed out.
In response to questions from Council, Mr. Scheffler showed simulations
that included signals and/or a roundabout at Somerset Drive. Adding a
traffic signal or a roundabout at Somerset Drive could help traffic flow on
Estes Drive and potentially shorten delays getting out of Somerset Drive,
he said. He presented a simulation that included all of the potential
parcels in the Central West Area, except Aura. It showed that adding an
extra turn lane and extending some lanes would reduce traffic back-up
despite having more traffic in the vicinity.
Mr. Scheffler also presented a scenario that included a traffic impact
analysis that had been performed for Aura. He said that the amount of
traffic that Aura would generate probably would have less impact than
what would be coming from other developments in the area. He showed
what the network would look like if Aura were developed, and the
recommended changes were made. Getting out onto Estes Drive could be
an issue for those coming from Aura, but the traffic generated from Aura's
two driveways would not have much effect on overall traffic patterns, he
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Town Council Meeting Minutes - Final May 3, 2021
said. He said that re-timing traffic signals to account for additional traffic
coming from Aura would subtract a couple of seconds of delay.
Council Member Ryan asked if the modeling included a potential additional
eastbound left-turn lane from Estes Drive Extension onto MLK, and Traffic
Engineer Kumar Neppalli replied that it did not since those improvements
would not happen by 2024. Council Member Ryan pointed out that other
developments that were being projected, however. She proposed that
staff project all of the traffic improvements that would be coming within
five years.
Council Members commented on how the future traffic scenarios were
being based on assumptions built upon other assumptions. They
proposed including additional variables, such as the traffic generated by
school buses and the nearby YMCA. Some stressed the need for further
calibration, interpretation and data analysis of queue length and its effect
on drivers' actual experience. In addition to service level information,
they wanted to know what the worst delays would be and how it would
feel to wait through two cycles, they said. Council Member Huynh left at
7:36 p.m.
Mr. Neppalli replied that staff would provide all of that information and
analysis at the May 12th public hearing on the Aura development. That
presentation would include a table with actual numbers for existing, no
build, and build scenarios and would include all of the developments, he
said. Council Member Buansi left at 8:00 p.m.
Council Member Anderson commented on some disadvantages of
presenting averages, but Mr. Scheffler explained that state and federal
agencies, including the NC Department of Transportation (DOT), look at
the average delay for a peak hour in order to avoid overdesigning a road
to accommodate a worst-case condition. However, HNTB could provide
ranges and maximums if that would help the Council's decision-making
process, he said.
Council Member Anderson asked about the status of NC DOT's approval of
the roundabout, and Mr. Neppalli said that he would provide that
information and recommendations at the May 12th hearing as well. Staff
would also present the quantitative analysis that the Council would need
to make a decision about Aura, he said. He spoke at length about the
many planned and potential improvements in the Central West Area and
said that NC DOT was amenable to discussing ways to mitigate queues at
Estes and Somerset Drives and the difficulty of turning left from Somerset
onto Estes. He pointed out that four studies of the area had already been
completed and said that improvements clearly needed to be made.
Mayor Hemminger commented on how staff had a short window of time to
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Town Council Meeting Minutes - Final May 3, 2021
prepare for the current meeting. She said that seeing a demonstration of
HNTB's modeling ability had been very helpful even though adjusting the
variables would make a difference. Having the opportunity to review the
traffic analysis ahead of the Aura hearing would reduce the amount of
time that the Council would need to spend on it on May 12th, she said.
She noted that Planning Commission members, who were scheduled to
review the Aura project the following evening, had been watching the
presentation online.
ADJOURNMENT
This meeting was adjourned at 8:58 p.m.
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